Operation Mervyn

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[Dave Birch] A few weeks ago I mentioned the interesting story of Hitler’s attempt to destroy the British economy by printing £5 notes and thus causing inflation. His plan was called “Operation Bernhard”.

Hitler hoped the £134million of counterfeit notes he produced in ‘Operation Bernhard’ would force a huge hike in inflation and spark a cash crisis

[From Adolf Hitler’s fake British bank notes expected to fetch £2k at auction | Mail Online]

I’m hoping to buy one of these fake notes – I’ve seen a couple for sale near Charing Cross already – but that wasn’t why I was thinking about this story again. It was because, as I mentioned on Twitter, I happened to ask someone who works at McDonalds how the use of contactless payments is going, since they are one of the retailers that has gone for a national roll out.

Fast-food restaurant chain, McDonald’s, will roll out contactless payments in all of its 1,200 UK stores by the end of October.

[From McDonald’s to roll out contactless payments in 1,200 UK stores – 1/24/2011 – Computer Weekly]

My source told me that they saw more people trying to buy their burgers with counterfeit £50 notes than with contactless cards. Are there a lot of counterfeit £50s or not very many contactless cards? Perhaps it’s the former!

In addition, the Bank revealed, some 300,000 counterfeit notes with a face value of £5.9m were taken out of circulation – a 48pc improvement on the previous year.

[From Bank of England pays 82 people more than £100,000 – Telegraph]

Of course, these are a very tiny fraction of the increasingly worthless banknotes being printed round-the-clock by the Bank of England anyway. According to the Bank of England’s statistical release for June 2011, the narrow money supply (M0) comprising the notes and coins in circulation is currently 2.74% of the broad money supply (M4). This is actually up slightly on this time last year, which I believe is a reflection of the number of £50 notes going into “circulation”. Since a great many of these are apparently fake, the Bank is today launching a new version.

One of these features, called Motion Thread, includes semi-translucent windows woven into the note that show the £ symbol and the number 50 when held up to the light.

[From New £50 note released with increased security features – Telegraph]

There’s always been, and will always be, an arms race between the Bank and the counterfeiters and its hardly likely to end here. In fact, as has been discussed for many years, the next step will almost certainly involved chips and printed electronics rather than conventional printing and paper manufacture.

Some of you may remember Paul Makin’s super presentation about “E-ink and smart banknotes” at the 13th Digital Money Forum in London back in March 2010. The presentation was based on some work that Consult Hyperion had been doing with the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

[From Digital Money: Smart art]

This sort of technology is improving all the time. It won’t be too long before some of the apparently crazy ideas discussed at the Forum in recent years – ranging from banknotes that change their value to banknotes that display the Facebook profiles of their owners – will be entirely feasible.

Modern banknotes contain up to 50 anti-counterfeiting features, but adding electronic circuits programmed to confirm the note’s authenticity is perhaps the ultimate deterrent, and would also help to simplify banknote tracking.  Silicon-based electronic circuits are clearly too thick to be incorporated into thin and fragile banknotes, but semiconducting organic molecules might be a viable alternative… A team of German and Japanese researchers created arrays of thin-film transistors (TFTs) by carefully depositing gold, aluminium oxide and organic molecules directly onto the notes through a patterned mask, building up the TFTs layer by layer.

[From Banknotes go electric to outwit counterfeiters – tech – 21 December 2010 – New Scientist]

Whether they are desirable or not is another matter. Personally, I would have thought that a better security feature would be stop printing the damn things altogether. What is the point of them?

When was the last time you had a £50 note in your pocket? Can’t remember? You may be surprised to learn that, according to the Bank of England, there are 212 million £50 notes in circulation valued at £10.6bn. That is 84% higher than seven years ago.

[From Launch of the new £50 – a history of banknotes – Personal Finance Newsroom | HSBC Bank UK]

I simply couldn’t tell you when I last had a £50 note. Thinking about it, I’m not sure I’ve ever had one. But since I don’t sell drugs, dodgy scrap metal or improper influence, I’ve never had the need for one. I can’t help but wonder if the new £50 note isn’t another nail in the coffin of cash, but if you see anybody with one then you will automatically assume that they are tax evader or engaged in a criminal conspiracy of some kind.

The integrity of the banknote industry is at stake; if central banks and the wider public lose confidence in their banknotes and suppliers, cashless payments will undoubtedly gain further momentum.

[From Industry in Crisis? — Counting On Currency]

So it’s not all bad news then.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


Friends with things

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[Dave Birch] I enjoyed the presentation that Christophe Langlois (Visible Banking) gave to the Financial Services Club in London and particularly the enjoyed the question and answer session afterwards. Christophe was talking about banks’ use of social media and was comparing and contrasting some different approaches that explored further in his new book “Customer Experiences without Borders” (which I won a signed copy of at the event, hurrah!). During the question and answer session, I made the point about the mismatch in the use of social media.

I don’t want to be friends with my bank—after all, I’m a typical consumer so I hate banks—but I do want to be friends with my bank account. Why can’t Barclays let me friend my current account so I can see its status updates like “Premium card fee £10.00”, “Direct Debit British Gas £37.85” and “Counter Credit £5.00” and so forth?

[From Friends and relations]

This is a point that I amplified in Retail Banker Interactive, finishing up with plea.

So a plea to my account, card and service providers: I don’t want to be friends with you, because you are corporations and not mates, but I do want to be friends with my stuff: my money, my cards, my phone. How hard can it be?

[From Social media is not just another communication channel – Blogs – Retail Banker Interactive]

A discussion about this continued over drinks, and I am indebted to David Harris from salesforce.com for bringing a fascinating example to my attention. Apparently, Toyota are going to have a system whereby you can be friends with your car, which is a great idea.

For example, if an EV or PHV is running low on battery power, Toyota Friend would notify the driver to re-charge in the form of a “tweet”-like alert. In addition, while Toyota Friend will be a private social network, customers can choose to extend their communication to family, friends, and others through public social networks such as Twitter and Facebook.

[From Toyota USA Newsroom | Salesforce.com and Toyota Form Strategic Alliance to Build ‘Toyota Friend’ Social Network for Toyota Customers and Their Cars]

So your friends could be friends with your car too. You might wonder why anyone would want to do this, but consider this: my sister has borrowed my wife’s car for a couple of days while she goes looking for another car, so it would be great if my sister could be friends with my wife’s car (and it would make sense for me to be friends with my wife’s car and vice versa) for a time.

What I’m not sure about is if I would want these connections to be in my hilariously-entitled “real name” or via a network like Facebook. I’m not paranoid, but I don’t want to be bombarded with crap all the time because Facebook has noticed that one of my brake pads is wearing a little thin and has sold this information to a hundred different brake pad companies around the world. And I’m sure it will only be a matter of time before some guy tracks down and murders his ex-girlfriend because she forget he was friends with her car so knows where she is.

There’s a layer of infrastructure missing here and I hope that the Cabinet Office’s Identity Assurance Programme that we were discussing yesterday is going to take this into account. They’ve finally got a budget so I hope that some of the input from the Working Groups can now be acted on.

Cabinet Office minister Francis Maude has earmarked £10m for implementation of the government’s Identity Assurance (IDA) programme,

[From Government earmarks £10m for Identity Assurance and targets over £500m savings – 10/31/2011 – Computer Weekly]

So what has being friends with my bank account got to do with the Cabinet Office? We need an identity infrastructure for things as well as for people. I need to delegate permission to access my wife’s car to my sister just as I need to give permission for my sister to be friends with my wife’s car for a while. Right now, there’s precious little security around people, but even less around things, largely because the “internet of things” wasn’t designed with security in mind.

Typically, the person who designs the embedded software system for a car or a power grid system or a generating system are engineers who learn programming maybe as part of their engineering course, but they are not trained computer scientists or computer engineers. The point is that someone whose primary job is understanding control theory is not someone who knows anything about software vulnerabilities.

[From The internet of things | Interviews | Opinion, News, Analysis | BCS – The Chartered Institute for IT]

If this sounds esoteric, it isn’t. It’s a real issue that should be taken seriously as input to the deployment of devices right now. Here’s a straightforward example from Rob Bratby.

The deployment of smart meters is one of the most significant deployments of what is often described as ‘the internet of things’, but its linkage to subscriber accounts and individual homes, and the increasing prevalence of data ‘mash-ups’ (cross-referencing of multiple databases) will require these issues to be thought about in a more sophisticated and nuanced way.

[From Watching the connectives | A lawyer’s insight into telecoms and technology]

So I should be able to make friends with my electricity meter and under some circumstances I might need to be friends with my father’s electricity meter but I don’t want burglars and ne’erdowells to be friends with it. It seems to me that we already sort of know how to do this sort of thing: we understand public / private key pairs, tamper-resistant stores for private keys, certificates, selective disclosure and everything else. But we’re going to end up using Facebook Connect, because it’s all too complicated for the marketing people to understand and we haven’t yet found a way of explaining it to them.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of 
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


Scrap it

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[Dave Birch] I was listening to the BBC’s lunchtime magazine programme the other day when they had a story about the huge and growing problem of metal theft in the UK. Nothing made of metal is safe. The lead from the roofs of listed buildings, the copper from phone cables and even statues are at the mercy of thieves.

Grainy CCTV footage shows two crooks taking 40 minutes to remove the sculpture from its plinth. They then carry it to their light-coloured car before speeding off.

[From Thieves take bronze statue of WWII soldier from garrison town’s war memorial | Mail Online]

Which did make me wonder, by the way, what on Earth the point of the CCTV was. But anyway. This is causing transport disruption as thieves steal signalling cable, communications disruption and people steal telecommunications cable and so on.

British Transport police say they need tougher powers to combat the growing problem of metal theft from our railways.

[From BBC – BBC Radio 4 Programmes – You and Yours, 25/10/2010, Scrap Metal]

So, what is to be done and what on earth does this have to do with the future of transactions? Well, one of the policemen interviewed said that they wanted the government to introduce a law that you can’t sell metal for scrap without identifying yourself. He said it would have to be the law, because any scrap dealers who have voluntary asked for proof of identity have found half of their business vanishing. In other words, half of this trade is bent: it’s either people who are selling stolen metal, or people who are selling legitimately-acquired metal but trying to evade tax, or both.

What to do? Well, the British government recently introduced an “e-petitions” programme. Under this programme, they have created a web site where you can file and sign online petitions. If your petition can get 100,000 signatures, then the topic will be debated in Parliament. They don’t promise to do anything about it, but they do promise to at least discuss it. Naturally I assume that the system is rigged, because my obviously sensible petition to establish a timetable for getting rid of notes and coins only has seven votes (you can vote for it here). The link is that I was curious to discover that, at the time of writing, one of the top (i.e., on the first page) petitions is to abolish cash payments for scrap metal.

An amendment to the Scrap Metal Merchants Act 1964 to prohibit cash transactions would make payment by cheque or directly into a bank account mandatory and would be a significant component in reducing metal theft.

[From Cashless Scrap Metal Trade – Amendment to Scrap Metal Merchants Act 1964 – e-petitions]

A sound policy for a better Britain indeed, but this turns out to be a global phenomenon and similar laws are being enacted elsewhere, including in France.

as of September 1, 2011, anyone attempting to sell or purchase ferrous or non-ferrous metals (isn’t this all metals? Ed.), including gold and silver, will be required to pay for their purchase via a credit card or bank wire transfer if it exceeds 450€… According to independent reports the law was passed to curb the illegal sale of stolen metals like copper, steel, etc.

[From Jesse’s Café Américain: Currency Wars: Restricting Gold and Silver Sales in France]

As the poster notes, however, the law has a secondary impact.

However, the fact that no exception was made for gold and silver simply cannot be ignored. The new law effectively makes it illegal to purchase even a single Troy ounce of gold or around 18 ounces of silver in cash.

[From Jesse’s Café Américain: Currency Wars: Restricting Gold and Silver Sales in France]

Which appears to be true. Some might argue that you shouldn’t be allowed to purchase anything for more than €450 in cash. I would certainly vote for this, as it would immediately put the European Central Bank (ECB) in the embarrassing position of printing banknotes (the €500) that can only be used for illegal transactions—which, to be fair, is their primary purpose at the moment.

By the way, the mention of the €500 note reminds me of an incredible irony. The note used to be called “the osama” because everyone knew they existed but no-one had ever seen one. Yet it turns out that not only was he eventually seen, he was a fan of the ECB’s work!

Leon Panetta, the CIA Director, has briefed congressmen that the former al-Qaeda leader had 500 euros sewn into his clothing

[From Osama bin Laden was a Europhile – Telegraph Blogs]

So now we’re going to have to think of new nickname for the €500 note. Something that we all know exists, but have never actually seen at first hand. I’m thinking “the Floyd” in honour of the psychedelic landmark 1973 album “The Dark Side of the Moon”.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of 
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


An idea for a dirty story

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[Dave Birch] Now, I’ve been a pretty big fan on mobile payments for a long time. But as a rational person with Physics degree and therefore a training in rationality, I know that you should always be prepared to change your mind about something when new scientific evidence emerges. Such as this case.

One in six mobile phones in Britain is contaminated with faecal matter… Experts say the most likely reason for the potentially harmful bacteria festering on so many gadgets is people failing to wash their hands properly with soap after going to the toilet… findings of the UK-wide study by scientists from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and Queen Mary, University of London.

[From One in six mobile phones harbour faecal germs]

That’s it! I’m not touching one again! Far from being “dirty money”, it turns out that banknotes are actually much cleaner. That gives the pro-cash guys another string to their bows – damn! Not all banknotes though: there are some you wouldn’t touch with gardening gloves on. But here in the UK, we’re not too badly off.

The richer, more developed and more economically free a country, the fewer bacteria its banknotes carry. Also the material and the age of the banknotes – or the money has a lot wrinkled – is of influence on the degree of clogging of the money. Nowhere in the world were alarming concentrations of unhealthy bacteria on money found.

[From Richer nations have cleaner banknotes]

As an aside, if there’s one thing more prevalent than poo on our money, it’s Bolivian marching powder.

cocaine is present in up to 90 percent of paper money in the United States, particularly in large cities such as Baltimore, Boston, and Detroit. The scientists found traces of cocaine in 95 percent of the banknotes analyzed from Washington, D.C., alone.

[From New study: Up to 90 percent of US paper money contains traces of cocaine]

Is that the best you can do USA? Only 95% of your cash is drug-splattered? Europe can show you the way.

An ongoing research project into the detection of illicit drug use has shown that of a sample of bank notes in current circulation in the greater Dublin area – €5, €10, €20 and €50 denominations – 100% of them showed contamination with cocaine.

[From 100 percent contamination of Euro notes with Cocaine]

As it happens, this doesn’t mean that Dublin is a hotbed of cocaine use. Because banknotes are passed through various sorting machines, ATMs, recycling depots and so on, the banknotes contaminate each other.

geographical location has absolutely no influence on the distribution of contamination. A probable explanation is that banknotes are rapidly mixed by the banking system and circulate via regional depots, and so localised ‘economies’ have little influence on contamination patterns.

[From How dirty is your money?]

Can technology help? How can I pay in safety, free from faecal matter and class A drugs? Well, it turns out that the manufacture of banknotes can provide a way forward. If you make banknotes out of the right material, you can protect your population.

China’s yuan banknotes are bacterial magnets, relatively speaking, while Australian dollars circulate virtually germfree. The difference traces to a number of factors — not least being what they’ve been printed on, a new international study concludes.

Australia’s advantage: It’s currency is made from a synthetic polymer.

[From Dirty Money 1: Expect Germs – Science News]

Can’t we make phones out of the same stuff and have ourselves a win-win? This gives me a great idea for a movie, by the way. I noticed some adverts for a film called “Contagion” which is about the world-wide spread of some dread disease, so I clicked on the trailer. It looked boring and a bit derivative, so I won’t bother to go and see it, but nonetheless… what about a thriller about the back room boys from the note-issuing department of the Bank of England (the most profitable nationalised industry in Britain’s history) and their desperate race against time to find a way to cure a deadly virus that can destroy society and is transmitted by banknotes. Working title “Inflation”.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of 
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


Let’s have some liability

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[Dave Birch] Never mind a National Strategy for Trusted Identities in Cyberspace (NSTIC), what about Trusted Identities in General? It’s far too easy in the US (and the UK) to take over someone else’s identity.

Prosecutors say Berkowitz stole the identities of dead people and federal prisoners to file for tax refunds in 28 states… Prosecutors say the scam was worth about $54 million.

[From Marvin Berkowitz Pleads Guilty In Tax Fraud Ring]

This sort of straightforward identity crime is profitable in the UK as well, although in a characteristically smaller way.

A Bristol woman has been jailed for using a complex web of 15 different identities and companies to defraud the Revenue out of £118,000.

48-year-old Alison Reynolds was jailed for seven years yesterday for VAT fraud and police offences. Reynolds was found guilty of four charges of cheating the Public Revenue, one charge of using a false identity document and several forgery offences.

[From Woman with 15 IDs gets 7 years for multiple VAT fraud • The Register]

Seven years? For stealing a paltry £118,000? She should have gone into investment banking. But the point is, of course, that she had 15 different identities which, given that there is no identity infrastructure in this country is not particularly surprising.

The Lib-Con government promised to do away with New Labour’s plans to introduce ID cards, yet its proposed new Identity Assurance Scheme (IAS) shows that the intrusive, bureaucratic impulse that gave birth to the ID-card scheme still lingers. Unless privacy is put at the heart of future government data initiatives, we could well end up with a scheme akin to ID cards introduced through the backdoor.

[From Is this just ‘ID cards without the cards’? | Patrick Hayes | spiked]

Well, this is a bit harsh on the Lib-Con coalition. Although it seems to me correct to say that they had no workable policy on ID (other than than the knee-jerk against the ID card), it’s not correct to imply that the IAS is the same thing. It isn’t. It is a structure whereby the private sector provide the identification and authentication services and the government uses them, much like the American NSTIC.

This “new” approach is not in fact entirely new. The UK government tried something similar during the late 1990s, working closely with third-party ID providers such as Royal Mail, Barclays, NatWest and the British Chamber of Commerce. Citizens and businesses could use such third-party IDs to authenticate themselves to online government services… So what went wrong? The lack of a sustainable commercial model led the third-party ID providers to exit from the market.

[From Back to the future with government ID plans – 6/23/2011 – Computer Weekly]

As I remember it, this failure on the commercial front had a lot to do with liability models and this is where things went wrong before, and show no signs of going right this time. What the identity providers want is an indemnity from government if they follow certain procedures: for example…

  • You come to my bank and open an account in the name of Christiano Ronaldo using a Portugese passport (that I have no means of verifying) and a recent gas bill. I take photocopies of these and file them away somewhere.
  • It subsequently transpires that you are actually Carlos Tevez.
  • Now, suppose you use your Christiano Ronaldo identity to do some money laundering. The bank would say that they are not liable, because they followed the correct KYC/AML/CTF procedures. This seems reasonable to me.

The bank is in the clear because they followed the rules, even though the rules were pointless. Of course, none of this actually helps fight against crime, money laundering and so on, as occurred to me the other day. I was due to take an early flight to the US and hadn’t had time to pick up some US$ for the dreary occasions where I can’t use cards like a civilised traveller. We happened to be passing a Post Office on the way home: they offer no-commission foreign exchange so I thought I’d run in and get some. Post Offices closed at 5.30pm on the grounds that that’s when people who work all day might want to use them, and I was running in at 5.15pm. I asked for $200 and waved my chip and PIN debit card. A transaction that I thought might take 90 seconds then began to drag. The clerk asked me for ID, which I didn’t have. My wife had her (US) passport in her bag, so she handed that over. Why, I’ve no idea, since the clerk had no way of verifying it. He then set about laboriously copying the passport details. I asked what the point was, and he told it was to do with money laundering.

Ludicrous. And even more ludicrous is the fact that I had a paid with cash, the result of a recent drug deal or bribe, then they would NOT have had to do the time-wasting utterly pointless AML form-filling. How bizarre is that? Incentivising criminals to not use a KYC’d payment instrument (the debit card) but instead persuading them where possible to work in untraceable cash. Madness.

Back the point, though. If the government were to create a liability structure for ID, just as they have for KYC/AML/CTF that says “look if you follow the rules and use our procedures than you are not liable – no matter how pointless and ineffective these rules might be” then that ought to fix the problem well enough to start a value network. It’s this that will help the “UKSTIC” to get going, because the business case around cutting down on KYC/AML/CTF is so strong.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


We don’t know whether we want real names or not

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[Dave Birch] There’s an ongoing, and familiar, debate in progress about people calling each other—and themselves—names online. You only have to spend a few minutes looking at the comments on the The Daily Mail or in the Guardian’s Comment is Free to see that people can be very mean to each other online where there identities are hidden. Not as mean to each other as they are offline, where identities are known, but mean nonetheless.

Psychological research has proven again and again that anonymity increases unethical behavior. Road rage bubbles up in the relative anonymity of one’s car. And in the online world, which can offer total anonymity, the effect is even more pronounced.

[From Online, Anonymity Breeds Contempt – NYTimes.com]

I’m sure this is true. But I’m also sure that in some cases you need sort-of-anonymity in order to get valuable input.

People’s faces, real names and brief biographies (“John Doe from Lexington”) are placed next to their public comments, to establish a baseline of responsibility.

[From Online, Anonymity Breeds Contempt – NYTimes.com]

Posting the real name and face of a nurse next to her comment about poor hygiene standards in a hospital, for example, is hardly likely to make the discourse better. I think we shouldn’t confuse the issue about strategies to improve the quality of online comment and debate on newspaper websites (always going to be an uphill struggle, frankly, if you are going to allow the public access to them) with the bigger picture about online anonymity. This has hit the headlines again because of the fuss about Google+‘s “real names” policy and Eric Schimidt’s comments about. Even the FT has been discussing it.

The web equivalent of anonymous pamphlets – taking to Twitter or to microblogs in China and in Arab countries to demand accountability or freedom from undemocratic governments – is a vital use of the internet. If everyone not only had to be identified but could be traced by security services, freedom of expression would suffer.

[From It is right to curtail web anonymity – FT.com]

Well… yes. But that’s an argument that proves that it isn’t right to curtail web anonymity. And in any case, this is nothing to do with Eric Schmidt’s comments on the subject. He was arguing that Google wants to know your real name so that it can market to you, sell your details to advertisers and so forth. Right now, when I have to log in to a double-glazing company web site to get a quote, I always give a made-up name, made-up date of birth and so forth. I don’t want someone from the double-glazing company website on my doorstep when I get home. But under Eric’s plan, there would be no hiding from the marketeers.

there are people who do really evil and wrong things on the Internet, and it would be useful if we had strong identity so we could weed them out

[From Google+ is an identity service, Schmidt says • The Register]

I don’t think he means double-glazing salesmen, but people who won’t reveal personal data.

So if we knew that it was a real person, then we could sort of hold them accountable, we could check them, we could give them things, we could you know bill them, you know we could have credit cards and so forth and so on

[From Andy Carvin – Google+ – Regarding my prior post on G+ and real names -…]

Quite. He is admirably, and commendably, honest and transparent. This isn’t about politics, or rights, or freedom. It’s about advertising. Now, let’s be clear. I am not anti-commercial. Far from it. I understand that people need to sell me stuff. In fact, more than that, I want people to sell me stuff. I like it when people sell me stuff I want. When Amazon recommends a great book to me, I love them for it. But, in the general case, does Amazon need to know whether I am real person, one persona of a real person, a dorm room or a small business or a married couple? It doesn’t: it looks at what JohnDoe1776 buys and makes recommendations. That’s it.

Saying that he’s been thinking about identity for 20 years, Schmidt calls it a “hard problem”: “The Internet would be better if we had an accurate notion that you were a real person”, he says.

[From Google+ is an identity service, Schmidt says • The Register]

Yes, it would. But that’s not an argument for anonymity or not-anonymity. As I have posted repeatedly over several years, it is better understood as an argument about credentials, authenticated attributes and the separate-but-related binding of virtual identities to digital identities and digital identities to RWLEs (Real World Legal Entities—I wish I could think of another, better title).

An anonymous virtual identity with the credentials IS_A_PERSON and IS_OVER_18 would serve most people for most purposes most of the time

[From Digital Identity: IS_A_PERSON]

It would also make identity theft much harder: every time Google or Facebook force you to use your real name, that makes it more likely that your real name will be stolen or used inappropriately. It’s the same argument I always use about putting names on chip and PIN cards – the only people who benefit from this are thieves who steal the cards. Eric is certainly correct when says it’s a hard problem though.

The goal to “protect anonymity of good people, but not allow anonymity of bad people” sounds really hard to implement: How do you separate “good” from “bad” people?

[From A CTO analysis: Hillary Clinton’s speech on Internet freedom | 1 of 45]

Well put. We (the public) have no idea what we want. We want anonymity for Syrian dissidents but not for pedophiles. We want anonymity for hospital nurses blowing the whistle on incompetent surgeons but not for looters. We want anonymity for celebrities in some circumstances but not others. Most of all, and most paradoxically, we want the authorities to spy on other people but not on us. Once you create the ability to simply, easily and inexpensively track people, then I’m afraid the genie is out of the bottle.

But if there was an Internet Driving License that you had to use to log in to web sites, that would almost certainly make the situation far worse, since these websites would now know exactly who you are, and this information would then be freely obtained by perverts, the secret police, News International or whoever else wants to pry.

[From Let’s not panic about online identity]

I don’t know what the answer is. I take part in activities such as the Cabinet Office’s Identity Assurance Privacy and Consumer Group and the Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation’s Research Fellowshop to try and learn as much as possible about the issues and to try to help our clients make informed decision about identity strategy, but I can’t help but feel we are some way from a solution. What I am certain of, though, is that we should be formulating national policy and not allowing corporates to bypass proper public debate and discussion on the topic.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


There’s a fine line between legal and illegal counterfeiting, isn’t there?

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[Dave Birch] I was fascinated to read about this recent addition to the historical collection of the Holocaust museum in Israel.

the collection of 43 drawings by Felix Cytrin of his fellow Jewish prisoners have been donated to Yad Vashem, Israel’s Holocaust memorial and museum, where researchers can study them and they will be exhibited for public viewing.

[From Portraits of Jewish ‘counterfeiters’ donated – Israel Jewish Scene, Ynetnews]

Why was I reading about these particular drawings of these particular prisoners? Well, its because

They are among the few images that exist of the young men who worked in an infamous secret Nazi operation to produce fake money, fictionalized in the Oscar-winning film “The Counterfeiters.”

[From Portraits of Jewish ‘counterfeiters’ donated – Israel Jewish Scene, Ynetnews]

If you’ve never seen it, “The Counterfeiters” is an excellent film. It won the 2007 Oscar for best foreign film (I saw it in the original German with English subtitles) and is the true story of the Nazi’s plot to destroy the British economy. I originally came across it because my son was studying German at high school and he visited Sachsenhausen as part of a cultural visit to Germany a couple of years ago. I was so fascinated by the story he came back with that I ordered the movie on Amazon immediately.

The film is based on a memoir written by Adolf Burger, a Jewish Slovak typographer who was imprisoned in 1942 for forging baptismal certificates to save Jews from deportation, and later interned at Sachsenhausen to work on Operation Bernhard.

[From The Counterfeiters (film) – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia]

Operation Bernhard was the Nazi plan to devastate the British and American economies by flooding them with counterfeit banknotes. They took 143 Jews from a variety of trades—printing, engraving and at least one convicted master counterfeiter, Salomon Smolianoff—and moved them from different death camps to a special unit: “Block 19” in Sachsenhausen concentration camp. There they set about forging first the British and then the American currency. They succeeded in making Sterling notes that fooled the Bank of England and then, almost at the end of the war, fake Dollars.

With defeat staring them in the face, the Nazis packed up all their paraphernalia, including printers’ plates and counterfeit bills, into crates which they dumped into Lake Toplitz, the deepest, most isolated lake in Austria. Toward the end of the war, they also cast chests of Nazi gold into its depths, gold which they had looted from conquered European countries. Ever since the end of the war, this has been a lodestone for treasure hunters.

[From The Counterfeiters]

The Nazis were never able to put their plot into operation. The original idea, conceived at the very start of the Second World War, was to drop the worthless banknotes over England, thus causing economic instability, inflation and recession. Remember, in 1939 the German people had very recent memory of worthless paper currency devastating the economy, as chronicled in Adam Fergusson’s book “When Money Dies” that was given out at the last London BarCampBank. In the end, the prisoners forged around Sterling 132 million, which is about four billion quid in today’s prices. Now, printing four billion quid’s worth of worthless paper money not backed by anything might sound like a reasonable way to destabilise the economy, but I don’t think it would have worked. In the last four years, under what is now know as “quantitative easing” rather than “counterfeiting”, the Bank of England has printed around two hundred billion of imaginary Sterling (i.e., fifty times as much as the Nazis).

UK’s £200bn programme of asset purchases – known as quantitative easing – on hold, Bank of England announces

[From Bank of England halts quantitative easing | Business | guardian.co.uk]

Rumours abound in today’s newspapers that they are about to turn the printing presses on again. It’s interesting to reflect that many economists think that Hitler’s plan (i.e., dropping the money from planes) would have had a more positive impact on economic growth than the Bank of England’s (i.e. giving the money to bankers). That kind of economic warfare predates Hitler by some time. In fact, he probably stole the idea from us Brits in the first place.

During the American Revolution, the British counterfeited U.S. currency in such large amounts that the Continental currency soon became worthless. “Not worth a Continental” became a popular expression of the era.

[From United States Secret Service: Criminal Investigations]

The idea was already old then! During the American revolution, the British had taken to counterfeiting money on a large scale while they occupied New York, an action seen as being one of perfidious Albion’s sneakiest tactics.

Thomas Paine was even more outraged, publishing an open letter to the British commander in which he assailed the decision to counterfeit the dollar. “You, sir,” he wrote, “have the honor of adding a new vice to the military catalogue, and the reason, perhaps, why the invention was reserved for you, is, because no general before was mean enough even to think of it.”

[From The New $100 Bill and the War Against Counterfeit Money – WSJ.com]

I can’t imagine that this is true—I’m sure it had been done before—but Paine’s outrage about the underhand nature of economic warfare is worth noting, not that economic warfare was either new or a stranger to our shores even then. Britain’s first economic terrorist and our official blog hero, Sir Thomas Gresham, had dabbled most effectively two centuries before.

In 1587, he “cornered” bills of exchange drawn on Genoan banks so effectively that he was able to disrupt the build-up of resources for Phillip II’s Great Armada , demonstrating how sophisticated economic warfare had become by the 1580s.

[From Digital Money: The queen would not have it called, as in other countries, the Bourse]

So is quantitative easing a sound government policy or a secret plot to destroy our economy? Personally, I’ll always support the cock-up theory of history over the conspiracy version. In which vein I can’t help noting the final supreme irony of Hitler’s attempt to ruin Sterling more effectively than the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Laurence Malkin (author of a detailed history of Operation Bernhard called “Krueger’s Men: The Secret Nazi Counterfeit Plot and the Prisoners of Block 19”) notes that after the war,

Through one of the Jewish money launderers, the Jewish underground passed on thousands of counterfeits to help the ingathering of exiles to Palestine and the purchase of war materiel for the nascent Israeli army.

[From Lawrence Malkin – Krueger’s Men Secret Nazi Counterfeit Plot Operation Bernhard – The Story]

There really is a law of unexpected consequences and it really does apply to money.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


Gold rushed

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[Dave Birch] More stuff in the news recently about gold. Is it the future of money? Well it’s hard to make predictions, as the tedious conference cliché says, especially about the future. Noted inventor Thomas Edison made this prediction for 2011:

More amazing still, this American wizard sounds the death knell of gold as a precious metal. “Gold,” he says, “has even now but a few years to live. The day is near when bars of it will be as common and as cheap as bars of iron or blocks of steel… Before long it will be an easy matter to convert a truck load of iron bars into as many bars of virgin gold.

[From Paleofuture – Paleofuture Blog – Edison’s Predictions for the Year 2011 (1911)]

Oh well. If someone as smart as that gets it wrong, I don’t have much of a chance of getting it right. In my bones, though, I just don’t feel that gold is the way forward. The future of money is bits, not atoms. Of course, there are plenty of people who feel that they need to hold the actual, physical, bullion and that no piece of paper or string of bits can adequately substitute for the cold, hard truth of the metal itself. Political visionary Hugo Chávez (who announced EMV migration before the reactionary imperialist lackeys of international capital did – Viva El Presidente!) for one. He has decreed that all Venezuelan overseas gold holdings must be repatriated.

Mr Chávez has rejected doubts over whether the Venezuelan central bank has sufficient vault space to store 365.8 tonnes. “If there isn’t enough room to store the gold in the central bank vaults, I can lend you the basement of the Miraflores presidential palace,” he said.

[From Traders prepare for Chávez gold transfer – FT.com]

Yeah, seriously. Personally, I’d be worried about burglars, light-fingered tradespeople and so on and would therefore prefer the bank vault to my basement for my store of value. And I can see another practical problem: what happens if they put the gold in the basement and then forget about it? It’s easy to do when you’re busy out and about establishing the worker’s control over the means of production.

Over the past week, on orders from the country’s Supreme Court, a panel has found a treasure estimated to be worth $22 billion in the underground vaults of a Hindu temple in Trivandrum, India.

[From About $22 Billion In Gold, Diamonds, Jewels Found In Indian Temple : The Two-Way : NPR]

Still, I’m sure the grateful citizens of Venezuela would be pressed to think of anywhere safer than Hugo’s house. After all, there the gold will be under the personal care of the father of Bolivarian socialism.

The wife of Tunisia’s ousted president fled the chaos-stricken country with one-and-a-half tons of gold worth more than £35million, it emerged yesterday… The chief of Tunisia’s central bank initially refused but Ben Ali, 74, personally intervened, and she flew out with the bullion as she joined him in exile in Saudi Arabia

[From Tunisian president’s wife Leila Trabelsi fled riots with £35m in gold bars | Mail Online]

You never know when you’re going to need it, do you? Mind you, given that much of Venezuela’s gold appears entrusted to the safekeeping of perfidious Albion, Hugo might be well advised to double check inside the care packages from the Bank of England.

Ethiopia’s central bank had shipped some consigned gold to South Africa’s central bank, only to learn that much of it was gold-plated steel. The Ethiopian central bank sustained losses in the millions of dollars. A number of people were prosecuted, including the assayers who reported that the bars were genuine.

[From Numismaster.com]

Whether gold is the future of money or not, it’s certainly a future of money. And if customers want to use it then we should be providing products and services for them to do so. I know I keep harping on about this, but it’s a good ten years since I first discussed with a client the idea of offering gold charge cards that were actually in gold rather than fiat currency. As I recall, this was an idea for targeting emerging Islamic markets and I still think it would have been a good idea, even if was a little radical for the time (when financial services customers ask you to “think outside the box” they generally don’t really mean it!).

A Malaysian state is allowing people to use gold and silver coins at stores and restaurants to revive a practice from early Islamic societies, an official said Friday. The gold dinar and silver dirham coins provide an alternative to Malaysia’s currency, the ringgit, in northeastern Kelantan state, which is governed by the Pan-Malaysian Islamic Party, a conservative opposition group that promotes religious policies in its rule.

[From The Associated Press: Malaysian state introduces Islamic currency]

There are other ways to work gold into payments, aside from the spreading gold ATMs, goldmoney and so on.

Garanti Bank, Turkey’s second largest private bank by asset size and Atasay Jewelry, one of Turkey’s biggest jewelry companies, today announced the launch of the world’s first credit card that allows consumers to redeem their bonus points in gold

[From Turkey’s Garanti Bank Introduces World’s First Gold Reward Card – pymnts.com]

If we are going to think outside the box on this one, then perhaps one direction to explore might be to stop thinking about actual gold (e.g., Dirham coins) or electronic claims to actual gold (e.g., Goldmoney) and start thinking about virtual gold instead. Instead of matching up a credit card with physical metal, what about matching it up with the virtual version. The first steps have already been taken.

Earn game time with every qualifying purchase. The World of Warcraft Visa® Card is the only card that pays you to play.

[From World of Warcraft VISA Credit Card]

There is one important difference between mundane gold and virtual gold, though, which is that (pending an undiscovered experiment by Thomas Edison) virtual gold is much easier to copy. If you’re interested in the overlap between cash and criminality, take a few minutes to read this interview with a Chinese “gold farmer” and look at the effect on virtual worlds.

* no way to determine if gold you buy is from “legitimate” sources, not “account cleaning”
* more account cleaning. After cleaned, account is sold to gold spammers used for spam until banned
* tens to hundreds of thousands of dollars a month in customer support cost due to dealing with “account hacked” problems

[From Annotated Chinese Gold Farmer Interview via Markee Dragon – PlayNoEvil – Game Security, IT Security, and Secure Game Design Services – Contact Us at ceo@secureplay.com]

It’s all about identity, as you’d expect me to say. We need cryptography, not nitric acid, to assay the virtual gold and I suspect that this is where the breakthrough is going to come from. We’re looking into a big cooking pot and throwing in Bitcoin, Goldmoney, World of Warcraft, Facebook Credit, EMV and mobile phones. Who knows what this recipe will turn out like. All we can say with any certainty is that the future is going to look a little different from the past.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers


Privatisation

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[Dave Birch] In the LSE debate on Keynes vs. Hayek broadcast on BBC radio earlier this year, featuring Professor George Selgin (who spoke at our 2011 Digital Money Forum), the participants never touched on Hayek’s key idea about competition in currency. Writing in the 1970s, in a pamphlet for the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) called “The Denationalisation of Money—The Argument Refined” he said that the provision of private currency would be more likely to result in sound money than the provision of public (state) currency because the issuers of that private currency would have to compete with each other in order to keep the value of their currency up. Now that inflation is beginning to creep up once again and, as James Mackintosh says in today’s FT, the real zero yield of gold is looking attractive, this proposition deserves to be reconsidered, this time in a technological environment (our world of the interweb and SIMs) that is more than capable of making it a reality.

What I mean by this is that when Hayek was writing in 1976, walking into a shop and paying with one of a number of competing private currencies, however economically desirable, would have been practically impossible. This is still true today. The costs of the issuing of the notes and coins, managing them in circulation, handling them at point of sale (retailers would have needed enormous tills and cash boxes to store all of the different kinds of money) and mentally calculating the exchange rates were just too great. It was an interesting thought experiment, but it was difficult to see it as anything more. Hayek himself discussed the practical difficulties, noting the problem of “cash registers” or “vending machines”, where issuers might mint coins of differing denominations, size or weight, and where in any case their relative values would fluctuate. But genius that we was, Hayek foresaw that:

Another possible development would be the replacement of the present coins by plastic or similar tokens with electronic markings which every cash register and slot machine would be able to sort out, and the ‘signature’ of which would be legally protected against forgery as any other document of value.

We now have the digital money and digital identity technologies to make this vision both real, cost-effective and desirable and evidence that the “tokens with electronic markings” that Hayek predicted are not (as we used to think) smart cards, but mobile phones. I’ve explained before why this is. It’s because cards are good for paying retailers, but not for paying each other. To replace cash, we have to have a person-to-person alternative mechanism and this is what mobile phones provide. A mobile phone is a means of being paid, as well as a means of paying.

There is no clearer demonstration of this than in Kenya, where Safaricom’s M-PESA (“peas” is the Swahili for “pay”) scheme has achieved astonishing scale by allowing people to send money to each other via the mobile phones. The latest official M-PESA statistics, released in May, show continuing growth. There are almost 14m people using the scheme today and 28,000 “cash in/out” agents. (As an aside, it is a business school case study to observe how a new means of payment has led to new markets, new job opportunities and new services.)

If the mobile phone is, indeed, Hayek’s token then what will happen? The answer is that I’m not smart enough to know. When I can choose between Sterling and euros by selecting a menu on my handset then I think the thought experiment is easy to set out: one can imagine John Major’s “hard e-euro” working properly while regional economic blocs get rid of national (nation state) currencies as vestiges of industrial revolution. You don’t have to be a Jane Jacobs groupie to see that her ideas about cities and their hinterlands might drive the evolution of currencies in more economically-sensible and people-friendly ways. But the idea that there will be state currencies—whether national, supranational or subnational—still suggests that the future will be similar to the past, and this doesn’t seem right to me. Money fashioned on a more local scale will be different to nation state money and it will lead to new institutions as well as a new economy.

perhaps in the future, all money will be local, it just that local will mean something different in the connected world.

[From Digital Money: A single currency? Illogical, Captain!]

This is why local currencies, although I don’t believe they will take over the world in their current form, might the best place to start constructing thought experiments about the future of money. One such local currency is Bernal Bucks, operating in the Bernal Heights are of San Francisco. It strikes me as a genuinely interesting experiment.

While most local currencies are physical – either printed scrip or minted coins – Bernal Bucks rely on plastic, which gives them more purchasing power than having to haul around bills or change. They’re Visa debit cards based on bank accounts at the local credit union.

The cards can be used anywhere that debit cards are accepted, but when they’re spent at participating Bernal Heights merchants, consumers get 5 percent back on their purchases to be applied to future neighborhood shopping trips – just like a frequent flier or rewards card. So for every $200 in Bernal Bucks they spend at Big Dipper Baby Food or Bernal Cutlery, they earn $10 to spend at any other participating local merchant.

[From Communities issue currency, promote local spending]

The merchants who participate in the program accept Bernal Bucks in payment. But here’s the thing: they can then spend those Bernal Bucks themselves, making them money not merely loyalty points. The idea behind the scheme is to incentivise the use of local, neighbourhood merchants and small businesses but its impact might well be to give us a window into a world of competing private currencies and help our financial services clients to construct innovative strategies founded on locality.

I feel that neither Bernal Bucks nor Bitcoin are the future, but they do help us to begin to picture what the future might be, and it is interesting to observe that the pressure for alternatives to the current money system is coming from so many different directions.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers

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