The Dutch retailers and the war on cash

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The Netherlands seems to be a front line in the European war on cash and it is the retailers who are leading the charge. Here, for example, is a pharmacy that no longer accepts cash: Twitter crowdsourced translation of the sign is that “From 1 Oct 2010 onwards, payments can only be made using debit cards – this for the security of our employees”. This is an interesting new development: a skirmish between cash and cards that is based on something other than merchant costs. I understand that the local government wants to make one of the major shopping streets in Amsterdam “Ferdinand Bolstraat” cash free. In the south of the country is Almere, which the mayor would like to see as Europe’s first cash-free town. I see that

Pinnen en winnen is een actie van Cashless Almere, een samenwerkingsverband van winkeliers- en ondernemersverenigingen, banken, Currence (merkeigenaar PIN), Koninklijke Horeca Nederland afdeling Almere, politie en gemeente. Deze partijen werken samen aan het verminderen van contant geld in de winkels en horeca. Dit verkleint de kans op overvallen.

[From Burgemeester van Almere]

According to Google, this means that “PINs and winning is an action of Cashless Almere, an association of retailers and trade associations, Currence (brand owner PIN), Koninklijke Horeca Netherlands Almere department, police and council”. It says that they are working together “to reduce cash in the shops and restaurants” because this reduces the risk of robbery. Something that may help them in this goal is the arrival of mobile payments, because there are probably the most significant step on the road to cashlessness.

Rabobank, ING and ABN Amro; and telcos: KPN, Vodafone Netherlands and Rabo Mobiel; are considering offering customers contactless payment, loaded onto SIM cards in NFC phones.

[From Dutch Banks and Telcos Consider NFC Mobile-Payment Launch | NFC Times – Near Field Communication and all contactless technology.]

There are many unique aspects to the Dutch electronic payments landscape: they still use an electronic purse (but only for parking) and they have the iDEAL internet payment scheme, which has been wildly successful in replacing the cards for online purchases.

Half of all online shoppers in the Netherlands use IDEAL, a bank-oriented payment system that started in 2005. To effect an IDEAL payment, the consumer is directed back to their own bank where they log in using bank authentication and authorize the payment. Then are then seamlessly directed back to the merchant. The system is popular with merchants because it delivers immediate payment (customers cannot charge back the payment) with bank security, and customers like it because they do not need another secure, two-factor or other complex log in. To date, there has been no reported fraud through the system.

[From Digital Money: Is this the iDEAL third scheme?]

Another unique aspect of the Dutch market is that the banks and the operators co-operate with each. In September, this agreement to “consider” NFC payments had firmed up to the announcement that the “six pack” (as they have rather bizarrely been called) are going to go ahead and launch a service.

T-Mobile, Vodafone, KPN, ABN Amro, ING and Rabobank have signed a letter of intent to jointly introduce NFC across the Netherlands from 2012.

[From Dutch banks and mobile operators to launch national NFC service • NFC World]

As an aside, I can’t resist noting that there is also a peculiarly Dutch answer to another question: which retailers won’t be accepting mobile, contactless, EMV or any other electronic payments? The answer is Amsterdam’s famous coffee shops, where bankers gather to develop new financial services products. These coffee shops are being pressured to start accepting cards so that more of their operations are on the books. This is, of course, a good idea. People like me wouldn’t feel so bad about paying their taxes if they felt that everyone else was paying theirs. But the coffee shops, tolerated under the Dutch system, have a supply chain chain that is not. The wholesalers, so to speak, have expressed a marked reluctance to be paid by SEPA credit transfer.

It’s this sort of thing that makes me love my job.

These are personal opinions and should not be misunderstood as representing the opinions of
Consult Hyperion or any of its clients or suppliers

My old Dutch

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The Netherlands seems to be a front line in the European war on cash and it is the retailers who are leading the charge. Here, for example, is a pharmacy that no longer accepts cash: Twitter crowdsourced translation of the sign is that “From 1 Oct 2010 onwards, payments can only be made using debit cards – this for the security of our employees”. This is an interesting new development: a skirmish between cash and cards that is based on something other than merchant costs. I understand that the local government wants to make one of the major shopping streets in Amsterdam “Ferdinand Bolstraat” cash free. In the south of the country is Almere, which the mayor would like to see as Europe’s first cash-free town. I see that

Pinnen en winnen is een actie van Cashless Almere, een samenwerkingsverband van winkeliers- en ondernemersverenigingen, banken, Currence (merkeigenaar PIN), Koninklijke Horeca Nederland afdeling Almere, politie en gemeente. Deze partijen werken samen aan het verminderen van contant geld in de winkels en horeca. Dit verkleint de kans op overvallen.

[From Burgemeester van Almere]

According to Google, this means that “PINs and winning is an action of Cashless Almere, an association of retailers and trade associations, Currence (brand owner PIN), Koninklijke Horeca Netherlands Almere department, police and council”. It says that they are working together “to reduce cash in the shops and restaurants” because this reduces the risk of robbery. Something that may help them in this goal is the arrival of mobile payments, because there are probably the most significant step on the road to cashlessness.

Rabobank, ING and ABN Amro; and telcos: KPN, Vodafone Netherlands and Rabo Mobiel; are considering offering customers contactless payment, loaded onto SIM cards in NFC phones.

[From Dutch Banks and Telcos Consider NFC Mobile-Payment Launch | NFC Times – Near Field Communication and all contactless technology.]

There are many unique aspects to the Dutch electronic payments landscape: they still use an electronic purse (but only for parking) and they have the iDEAL internet payment scheme, which has been wildly successful in replacing the cards for online purchases.

Half of all online shoppers in the Netherlands use IDEAL, a bank-oriented payment system that started in 2005. To effect an IDEAL payment, the consumer is directed back to their own bank where they log in using bank authentication and authorize the payment. Then are then seamlessly directed back to the merchant. The system is popular with merchants because it delivers immediate payment (customers cannot charge back the payment) with bank security, and customers like it because they do not need another secure, two-factor or other complex log in. To date, there has been no reported fraud through the system.

[From Digital Money: Is this the iDEAL third scheme?]

Another unique aspect of the Dutch market is that the banks and the operators co-operate with each. In September, this agreement to “consider” NFC payments had firmed up to the announcement that the “six pack” (as they have rather bizarrely been called) are going to go ahead and launch a service.

T-Mobile, Vodafone, KPN, ABN Amro, ING and Rabobank have signed a letter of intent to jointly introduce NFC across the Netherlands from 2012.

[From Dutch banks and mobile operators to launch national NFC service • NFC World]

As an aside, I can’t resist noting that there is also a peculiarly Dutch answer to another question: which retailers won’t be accepting mobile, contactless, EMV or any other electronic payments? The answer is Amsterdam’s famous coffee shops, where bankers gather to develop new financial services products. These coffee shops are being pressured to start accepting cards so that more of their operations are on the books. This is, of course, a good idea. People like me wouldn’t feel so bad about paying their taxes if they felt that everyone else was paying theirs. But the coffee shops, tolerated under the Dutch system, have a supply chain chain that is not. The wholesalers, so to speak, have expressed a marked reluctance to be paid by SEPA credit transfer.

It’s this sort of thing that makes me love my job.

These opinions are my own (I think) and presented solely in my capacity as an interested member of the general public [posted with ecto]

Dry

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[Dave Birch] Having said that I couldn’t see any circumstances in which I’d use a contactless card at my dry cleaners, I just did.

I went in with some dry cleaning which came to £11 or so. I took out my MasterCard and put it in the terminal, punched in my PIN and then waited a while for it to dial up and authorise. While this was going on, I noticed that the terminal was a new Ingenico i-series terminal with contactless interface. So, as an experiment, I bought £7 of shoe polish: the chap keyed in the transaction and sure enough the contactless interface lit up: I paid with my Visa contactless card which, since it was offline DDA, was instant. Excellent.

Gelding

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[Dave Birch] The German Savings Bank Association are to launch a contactless e-purse for low-value payments in 2011. The project takes the highly unsuccessful Geldkarte, which is on every debit card but rarely used, and adds a contactless interface to give it a convenience boost. They are targeting transactions under €20 (which will be without a PIN) although in the future they will extend the scheme to larger transactions (which will be PIN verified) and expect the scheme to be more popular with German retailers than Visa or MasterCard contactless payments because it is cheaper and simpler (they say). Germany has, historically, been seen as being a rather conservative retail payment market but in addition to the savings banks’ son-of-Geldkarte, the German telcos are also launching their own new contactless payments scheme, but using stickers.

Major German telcos plan to hold a trial next year using contactless stickers that would enable subscribers to tap their phones to pay in stores with the telcos’ mpass payment service that is now available only for purchasing on the Internet.

[From German Telcos To Launch Trial of Their Own Payment Scheme in 2011 | NFC Times – Near Field Communication and all contactless technology.]

The trend to stickers, incidentally, isn’t confined to Germany.

U.S.-based mobile-payment start-up RFinity is adopting passive-contactless stickers for its payment project in and around a university campus in Idaho, changing an earlier plan to expand its pilot using contactless microSD cards… RFinity and Bling are among a host of start-ups hoping to take businesss from Visa Inc. and MasterCard Worldwide and major banks in the budding mobile-payment market.

[From M-Payment Start-Up Trades MicroSDs for Passive Stickers | NFC Times – Near Field Communication and all contactless technology.]

Never mind contactless, some German retailers have already been looking beyond it to the next technology revolution in retail e-payments, biometrics. Specifically fingerprints.

“This is an interesting system for the future with a high security standard. There will never be a system that is 100 per cent secure,” Binneboessel said, adding that using a fingerprint payment method is as secure as using a PIN… “On average paying using a fingerprint takes only seven seconds, paying with a bank card that requires a PIN takes 12 seconds and paying with cash takes 20”.

[From German grocery stores experiment with payment by fingerprint : Technology]

See how the report talks about security but then cites speed as the main benefit of switching to the technology. Talking about security, some customers have security concerns about contactless technology. When Discover did a trial with contactless payment stickers, they found that users were quite security concsious. They wanted to put their stickers inside the cover over their mobile phones and…

Few said they would want their name or account number printed on the sticker.

[From U.S.: Discover Pursues Contactless-Mobile Strategy With Sticker Trial | NFC Times – Near Field Communication and all contactless technology.]

I don’t want my name or account number printed on my bank card either, but there you go. Anyway, the point is that stickers were seen as being an interim technology, just there to fill in until mobile proximity handsets arrived. Which, by the way, they now have, although in very, very limited numbers. Why the delay? Because the mobile operators insisted on a standard called Single Wire Protocol (SWP) that keeps the proximity interface under their control, and it’s taken a while for the handset manufacturers to get going on this. Samsung have already introduced an SWP phone into their line up (and, indeed, we’ve been using these at Consult Hyperion on a couple of major projects).

The phone for the Telefónica trials, the Samsung S5230, known as the Star or Player One, is an EDGE handset–not a 3G phone. But Samsung said it is one of the handset maker’s top sellers.

[From New Samsung NFC Phone Gets First Trial in Spain | NFC Times – Near Field Communication and all contactless technology.]

These phones, however, need a contactless infrastructure in place at POS to make them desirable for payments. How is that going? Some up-to-date figures on US consumers payments

Adoption of contactless technology also shows promise. Some 21.7% of consumers have adopted contactless debit cards, while just over a quarter hold a contactless credit card. Some 9.5% report having adopted a contactless toll-payment instrument. Overall, those who have adopted any kind of contactless payment device stands at 44.3%, a figure that may seem more robust than critics of contactless payment have supposed. The report, though, does not look at actual usage of contactless devices.

[From News]

This reminds us that contactless payments aren’t only about open-loop payments. Even in the US, consumers are familiar with the technology primarily because of transport and transit applications. The report goes on…

While the report does not touch on contactless payments via mobile phones, it reports that 8.2% of consumers are now using mobile banking to access their accounts, compared to 70.7% for online banking and nearly 85% for ATM or debit cards.

In summary, then, there are lots of people who know what contactless is, quite a few people with contactless cards, but not so many actual transactions. And yet…

that the only real threat to cash on the horizon is contactless payments.

[From Mobile Transfers – Will They Live Up to the Hype? — Counting On Currency]

This is wrong, of course, because the threat to cash will come from mobile phones, but in developed markets they need the contactless rails to run on. So where are those contactless rails? Personally, I think that Forum friend James Van Dyke of Javelin is right, as he generally is, to say that the problem lies not with the market but with the industry. Customers like fast, “touch and go” payments. But they don’t seem to find them as an option in any of the places where replacing cash with the tap makes sense: their parking meter, their coffee shop, their PC: the industry has driven contactless down the path of existing business, existing terminals, existing POS. That’s not good enough.

Contactless experiences

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[Dave Birch] Well, I’ve been using my contactless products for a while now. In practice, most of my transactions have been using my splendid Barclays OnePulse Visa PayWave product (I don’t understand why you don’t see more of these in London, since they include Oyster functionality and will auto-topup your Oyster stored-value from your Barclaycard) and my splendid pre-paid MasterCard PayPass sticker that is on the back of my iPhone. I do see more contactless terminals beginning to appear, which is good, but I’m getting more and more frustrated with the customer experience because of the way that these terminals have been configured and connected to the POS.

Here’s why.

Consider the example of (and I’m not picking on them: they’re just the last place I used contactless) Pret a Manger, which has forward-facing contactless readers conveniently located at a comfortable height in front of each POS. The payment experience is this…

  • Thirsty Coffee Addict Desperate for a Latte (eg, me), or TCA for short: “Large latte please”.
  • Helpful Pret a Manger Serving Assistant, or PMS for short: “£1.99 please”.
  • TCA taps contactless card against reader. Nothing happens.
  • TCA: “Can I pay with the new fast contactless technology please?”
  • PMS: “Yes of course”.
  • PMS goes back to POS and presses a button or two.
  • A few seconds later, the terminal display comes to life and the screen displays “£1.99”.
  • TCA taps contactless card against reader and it beeps and flashes green lights.
  • Payment is instant, but it takes another 30 seconds to print out a paper receipt that I don’t want.

Here’s how it should work.

  • TCA: “Large coffee please”.
  • PMS: “£1.99 please”.
  • TCA taps contactless card on terminal and it beeps and flashes green lights.
  • Receipt is e-mailed to me.

Simple.

Contactless update

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[Dave Birch] OK, I’ve been thinking about contactless again, following some more discussions that I got caught up in today after I mentioned that yet another person in a shop in London had asked me where I got my iPhone sticker from. This led me to think back a couple of week, because I’d thoroughly enjoyed SMi’s Contactless Cards and Payments 2010 held in London. They had a really good range of speakers (including me) looking at different aspects of the European contactless landscape, and a number of different European perspectives.

First of all, let’s just reinforce the link between contactless and cash replacement. MasterCard’s figures show that only 4% of PayPass “taps” in Europe are for transactions above $50 and the average transaction value varies by country from around $5 to around $14. At the conference, they also gave a good case study on Carrefour and I recently saw an updated version of this case study from someone else. Carrefour have just issued three million contactless credit cards in eight months and upgraded 22,000 terminals take contactless payments. At the time of writing, they are seeing that over a third of their under €20 euro transactions are already contactless (displacing mainly cash) and that they have migrated 6% of transactions from debit to credit (which is, presumably, more profitable for them since it’s their own credit cards). Having said all that, and noted the Visa figures for the UK,

Several payments executives say consumer interest in the technology is falling off, and they blame the banks’ and card networks’ apathy.

[From Has ‘Tap and Go’ Lost Its Touch? – Bank Technology News Article]

I’m not sure I would agree: the “blame” must be more widespread because it seems to me that contactless as POS as it stands is not that exciting. In many of the places where cash replacement would be very attractive (eg, vending machines) there are no contactless terminals and in many of the places where there are contactless terminals (eg, my dry cleaners) they will never be used. In other words, there could be a much better alignment between the terminal deployment strategy and the cash replacement strategy. Other people, though, are suggesting other remedies.

Banks making a concerted push to promote contactless payment technology are focusing on the wrong target and should switch their short-term focus to mobile commerce.

[From Analyst Labels M-Commerce Renaissance a Priority by Bank Systems & Technology]

I draw a slightly different conclusion: banks should invest in contactless payments and in mobile payments on the same roadmap, so that in the time the investments are not wasted. What this means in practice is that the banks (and the retailers) should be planning for a new generation of value-added services that will be enabled by the combination of the mobile phone and the contactless interface.

A steak in the ground

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[Dave Birch] The news that Boots is going to trial contactless payments suggests that things are about to improve in that world. It’s clearly important for the contactless payments sector that high street brands such as Boots are on board, although I’m not quite how it will work. I’d imagined that Boots will set aside one or two terminals for sandwiches and drinks and add contactless there, because I wasn’t sure what would be gained by adding it to all of the POS locations. But I went in to Boots today and, oddly, contactless had been added to all of the normal POS terminals but not to the self-service quick-checkout areas for buying sandwiches and drinks. Nonetheless, a couple of us bought stuff and the terminals worked fine.

IMG_0012

I asked the guying serving me what he though about contactless and he told me that customers were using the contactless terminals and that the customers who used the contactless terminals really liked it. So my random sample of one POS at one store tells me that contactless is gaining ground. Not everyone thinks this.

Much hyped contactless payments may be a long way off from becoming the norm in the UK – despite trials by retailer Boots ahead of a potential roll out at their till-points nationwide – because the recession has delayed both retailers and issuers from investing the technology, finds analyst Datamonitor.

[From Internet Retailing » Contactless payments not taking off as recession curbs retailer and bank investment in the technology]

Hhhmmm. Meanwhile,

According to Euromonitor findings, the spread of contactless card technology has continued apace on a global level through 2010, gathering momentum in markets outside first mover region Asia Pacific. Despite decreased consumer spending and tighter margins for both card issuers and retailers during the global recession, investment in contactless technology is growing as both industry and consumers realize the benefits of contactless products.

[From Euromonitor research finds contactless card growth solid despite global recession – Market Research, Analysis, and Trends Blog]

I’ve no way of judging which of these is the more accurate reflection of the state of play, since I don’t have access to any accurate public figures on the rate of deployment of contactless terminals in the UK or transaction figures, but I must point out that I have started to see more terminals popping up in various places in London.

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What remains puzzling to me, though, speaking only as an observer, is why contactless remains absent in locations where cash is a nuisance, such as the vending machines on the London Underground. I mentioned before (in the Parable of Woking) that the car park that I use most is probably lost to cards — contactless or otherwise — forever now, since the card slots have been disabled…

P1000461

The future’s so bright I gotta wear shades. People seem to happily pay the 40p convenience charge for not using cash here, so presumably there is a convenience premium for contactless that can help to spread to the technology. But wait: a correspondent writes…

“Yesterday I went to buy my weekly steak and when paying for purchases less than GBP 10, my butcher says he needs to charge an extra 50p. I really don’t get this. Why is there a minimum payment? And does this not fly in the face of low value contactless payments the you guys are pushing. WTF?”

My response to this would have been to put the steak down and go and buy it somewhere else, but I can see my correspondent’s point. Where does the surcharge come from? The interchange on contactless transactions (currently under GBP 15) is probably around 4p, so if the butcher installed such a terminal he would not only speed up the POS but be able to offer a reasonable deal to his customers, who want to pay with debit cards. One approach might be the “broadband” angle being considered by the Dutch (I’ll blog about this shortly), whereby these kinds of smaller retailers pay a monthly flat fee to cover the terminal rental and broadband connection, and this fee includes the MSC for all contactless debit transactions, thus (hopefully) aligning the private and social costs more efficiently (it’s better for society as a whole if people use debit cards rather than cash).

But how come the car park can charge 40p for not using cash and it doesn’t bother me, whereas it would really annoy me if the butcher charged me 40p for buying some sausages without cash? It must be something to do with the user experience. At the station I’m not just paying extra to not use cash, I’m paying extra to sort out my parking while I’m walking to, or sitting on, the train. It’s not the payment transaction that is enhanced by going cashless but the value-added around the payment transaction.

Making a silk e-purse

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[Dave Birch] Throwing out some old papers, I came across a Datamonitor report from 1996. It was projecting the use of online payments through to 2002 and suggested that credit cards would account for about half of the market (a small decrease) whereas digital cash would account for something like a quarter of the market. Now, as we all know, this didn’t happen. But like many other people at the time I thought it would. Why were we so wrong? In my case the reason for the utterly wrong prediction was transaction cost calculations. Like many other people I sat down with a spreadsheet and worked out that it would be a lot cheaper to pay for things on the Internet using e-cash rather than conventional banking infrastructure. For example…

  • Conventional means to pay gas bill. Phone up with credit card (3%), debit card (10p) or direct debit (4p).
  • New means to pay gas bill. Insert Mondex card in reader. Click to download UKP23.45 from bank account to Mondex card. Go to British Gas web site. Click to transfer UKP23.45 from Mondex card to British Gas. Total transaction cost: zero.

Of course, the cost of issuing Mondex cards and smart card readers is amortised to near-zero here. But it doesn’t matter, since none of it ever happened. It turned out that the transaction costs were irrelevant, because getting people to plug a smart card reader into a PC was a huge barrier on the acceptance side and getting banks to put a Mondex application on a smart card was a huge barrier on the issuing side. Customers, however, rather liked the idea of e-cash, and many would still prefer to pay this way.

Research this week from Prepaid Services (that operates Cash-ticket) found that around a third of shoppers would prefer to use cash rather than a credit card when paying for goods online.

[From Untitled]

It has to be easy, and it has to work. But it’s an interesting point to consider with hindsight: why did we make systems such as Danmont, Mondex, VisaCash and use them to compete with cash in the physical world rather than use them in the virtual world where there was no cash? I suppose at the time the world of the Internet was considered a novelty, not central to the world of banking and payments, so the idea of creating an e-cash system specifically for the Internet was considered the province of technology startups rather than banks. That’s not to say that people didn’t try: DigiCash, remember, and there were a variety of other ideas floating around such as Millicent, Hashcash and all the others. At the time, I was on the hardware side of the debate: that is, I couldn’t see how such a system would work in software and assumed that it would be the bank who would provide the tamper-resistant hardware (correct: the chip card) and the interface to the PC. These interfaces never materialised in the mass market, so that they never got a foothold before the falling cost of chips and telecommunications combined with massive economies of scale to give debit cards and unassailable lead at retail POS.

Japanese notes

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[Dave Birch] I had to take a look at some aspects of the Japanese payments market for some work I’m doing for a customer at the moment and thought I would share some of the up-to-date data I found. Naturally, I’m very interested in the spread of contactless pre-paid payment products (which I’ll call “e-purses” for the purposes of this post) because of the extent to which they displace cash. So how are the e-purses doing? Many thanks to our good friend Dan Balaban for putting together this up-to-date table of Japanese e-purse cards (we’re only looking at cards here and not the chips integrated into mobile handsets).

Contactless e-Money in Japan (FeliCa chips)

Operator Scheme Cards Monthly
Transactions
POS Terminals
bitWallet Edy 52.2 26 175,000
JR East Suica 28.4 28.5 80,800
PASMO PASMO 14.2 12.3 68,000
Seven & i (7-11) nanaco 9.5 32 27,700
Aeon WAON 13 32.9 47,000
JR West ICOCA 5.1 1.27 68,000
Cards and monthly transactions are in millions. Card figures include applications on contactless mobile phones. Transactions for Suica, PASMO and ICOCA do not include fare collection. Contactless credit services, such as iD and QUICPay, are not included.
Source: Sony Corp., Nikkei (1/10).

I also looked up the latest consumer responses on “What Japan Thinks” and found that (2/10) some 58% of Japanese consumers carry at least one of these cards and that their three main reasons for using them are:

  1. Speed, as you might imagine.
  2. Points! It turns out that many of the e-purse schemes offer rewards, presumably funded by the float and/or cash displacement at the retailer POS.
  3. Coin replacement, because consumers don’t want pockets full of small change.

As to where they use these products, the top two usage points are transit and convenience stores, just as you might expect. Hopefully, in a couple of years’ time, this will be the same in London. One thing that did strike me as off the curve was that only a quarter of consumers reported using their e-purses at vending machines. I would have expected this to be higher, but perhaps that’s reflecting my own spending patterns: maybe other people don’t buy as many chocolate bars and Cokes on the Underground as I do. What do all of these numbers mean? Well, if you exclude transit, they mean that usage is still low.

The Japanese market is often cited as a success story by proponents of contactless and mobile contactless solutions, where consumers are estimated to make 1.8 contactless retail transactions per month per contactless device, and 4.7 customers make a contactless transaction on each contactless point of sale (POS) per day.

[From Finextra: Gartner takes a swipe at Citi mobile trial data]

Two transactions per consumer per month on average? They’re not going to replace cash any time soon with that kind of penetration. What’s the problem? Well, the POS terminals are expensive (we’ll come back to that below) and, more of a barrier I think, there’s no equivalent of “Square”, so you can’t use e-purses to pay each other. We can learn from this and do better in other markets that are moving to contactless, I’m sure.

Only five more years?

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[Dave Birch] As far as I can make out (via Babelfish), the Dutch Consumers' Association are predicting cashless retailing within five years. That may seem an aggressive forecast, but some parts of the Dutch retail environment have already gone in that direction.

When I entered what I saw was perhaps the nicest selection and quality of food I had ever seen in the city of Amsterdam, excepting one organic open market (only open Saturdays.) I proceeded to do my shopping with great joy, looking forward to sampling the beautiful organic products on sale. Awaiting me at the counter however was a shock, cash is not accepted at this store.

[From OpEdNews – Article: Cashless Society, Coming Soon to a Store Near You!]

If this is a rare sight in the Netherlands now, it's going to become considerably more common over the next five years.

Dutch supermarkets are hoping to phase out the use of cash by 2014, the Financieele Dagblad reports on Thursday, quoting the retail board CBL.

[From DutchNews.nl – 'Supermarkets set to refuse cash']

France is taking its first steps in the same direction with the successful NFC pilots about to move into national roll-out.

Reactions among 1,000 technophile consumers who signed up for the Payez Mobile trial were encouraging. Contactless mobile payments proved popular with both sexes, and all ages… Nine out of 10 users said they would recommend mobile payments, and 70 per cent of retailers said they would want a terminal if they were commercially available.

[From FT.com / Technology / Digital Business – French take a lead in mobile payments]

To the Brits, NFC may be French letters and it is the Dutch who are planning to cap the use of cash, but one day we will surely follow in their footsteps.

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